Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 65.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 15.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Beerschot Wilrijk win it was 1-2 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.