Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Gent had a probability of 18.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 1-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Gent win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.