Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 53.24%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 2-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.