Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eupen win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eupen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Beerschot Wilrijk win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eupen would win this match.