Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 25
Oct 22, 2023 at 11am UK
Stadyen Junatstva
Smorgon0 - 3Gomel
Kovalevich (51'), Aliu (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Junior Effaghe (54'), Aleksievich (56'), Kozlovskiy (88')
Adeola (41'), Aleksievich (63')
Adeola (41'), Aleksievich (63')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Smorgon and Gomel.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Soligorsk 2-0 Smorgon
Friday, October 6 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League
Friday, October 6 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Gomel 1-4 Dinamo Brest
Sunday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Belarusian Premier League
Sunday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Belarusian Premier League
Goals
for
for
36
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 53.6%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Smorgon | Draw | Gomel |
24.04% ( -0.03) | 22.35% ( 0.01) | 53.6% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.52% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
