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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 25
Dec 1, 2024 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Sarmiento

Velez Sarsfield
1 - 0
Sarmiento

Aquino (41' pen.)
Mammana (45+2'), Bouzat (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lopez (5'), Guiacobini (54'), Gho (59'), Garcia (68'), Lopez (81')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Sarmiento.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Godoy Cruz 0-0 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, November 24 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-0 Platense
Wednesday, November 27 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 11.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.99%) and 3-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawSarmiento
66.24%22.21% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 11.55%
Both teams to score 36.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.44%58.56% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.87%79.13%
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.86% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)17.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.63%47.38% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.78%56.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.4%88.6% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 66.23%
    Sarmiento 11.55%
    Draw 22.21%
Velez SarsfieldDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 16.99%
2-0 @ 14.99%
3-0 @ 8.81%
2-1 @ 8.63%
3-1 @ 5.07%
4-0 @ 3.89%
4-1 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 1.46%
5-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 66.23%
1-1 @ 9.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 9.64%
2-2 @ 2.49%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.21%
0-1 @ 5.55%
1-2 @ 2.82%
0-2 @ 1.6%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 11.55%

How you voted: Velez Sarsfield vs Sarmiento

Velez Sarsfield
100%
Draw
0.0%
Sarmiento
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 14, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 25
Sarmiento
1-1
Velez Sarsfield
Monaco (90+10' pen.)
Bettini (21')
Jara (90+12')
Burian (90+8'), Garcia (90+4'), Gomez (90+13')
Aug 23, 2022 1.30am
Sep 24, 2021 11pm
Second Phase
Sarmiento
0-1
Velez Sarsfield

Nunez (8'), Chicco (90+3')
Feb 21, 2021 8.10pm
First Phase
Sarmiento
1-2
Velez Sarsfield
Torres (90+5')
Janson (12'), Almada (63')
Galdames (70')
rhs 2.0
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