Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Mar 17, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield1 - 0Instituto
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Instituto.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Banfield 1-2 Velez Sarsfield
Tuesday, March 12 at 12.45am in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, March 12 at 12.45am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Instituto
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
14
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 53.23%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Instituto |
53.23% ( -0.61) | 27.17% ( 0.52) | 19.6% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 39.89% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.91% ( -1.49) | 63.09% ( 1.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.47% ( -1.09) | 82.53% ( 1.1) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.93% ( -0.92) | 24.08% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.65% ( -1.33) | 58.36% ( 1.34) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.55% ( -0.77) | 47.46% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.17% ( -0.59) | 82.83% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
Velez Sarsfield 53.22%
Instituto 19.6%
Draw 27.16%
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 16.26% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.2% Total : 53.22% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.62)2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.41% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.27% Total : 19.6% |
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 1.30am
Apr 12, 2023 1.30am
Form Guide
