We said: Independiente 1-1 Banfield
Independiente head into Thursday's contest on home turf desperate for a first win of the second phase of their season, while the visitors will travel with renewed confidence from their triumph last time out.
With both having shown their defensive capabilities, we anticipate a hard-fought encounter at the Estadio Libertadores de America and see a low-scoring draw as the most likely outcome.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 42.95%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.7%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.