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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Oct 12, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Feliciano Gambarte
San Lorenzo

Godoy Cruz
1 - 1
San Lorenzo

Ulariaga (35')
Andino Valencia (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Giay (45+14')
Remedi (19'), Remedi (28'), Ferreira (58'), Gabriel Lopez (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Godoy Cruz and San Lorenzo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gimnasia 0-1 Godoy Cruz
Saturday, October 5 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Instituto 2-0 San Lorenzo
Sunday, October 6 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Godoy Cruz 2-1 San Lorenzo

Neither team heads into this weekend with much momentum or confidence due to their poor runs, but that could lead to each believing this is the perfect match to change their fortunes. Godoy Cruz were a much stronger outfit within the first phase of the competition and that should lead to them being the slight favourites here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 46.85%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 22.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.38%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Godoy CruzDrawSan Lorenzo
46.85% (4.093 4.09) 30.89% (-0.837 -0.84) 22.26% (-3.252 -3.25)
Both teams to score 34.83% (-0.589 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
28.86% (0.557 0.56)71.14% (-0.554 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.05% (0.346 0.35)87.95% (-0.343 -0.34)
Godoy Cruz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86% (2.624 2.62)31.13% (-2.623 -2.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.54% (2.957 2.96)67.46% (-2.953 -2.95)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.58% (-2.891 -2.89)49.42% (2.895 2.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.75% (-2.124 -2.12)84.25% (2.127 2.13)
Score Analysis
    Godoy Cruz 46.84%
    San Lorenzo 22.25%
    Draw 30.88%
Godoy CruzDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 17.95% (0.9 0.9)
2-0 @ 10.47% (1.209 1.21)
2-1 @ 7.38% (0.297 0.3)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.722 0.72)
3-1 @ 2.87% (0.307 0.31)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.279 0.28)
3-2 @ 1.01% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 46.84%
0-0 @ 15.38% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-1 @ 12.65% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-2 @ 2.6% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 30.88%
0-1 @ 10.84% (-1.17 -1.17)
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.534 -0.53)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.776 -0.78)
1-3 @ 1.05% (-0.225 -0.23)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 22.25%

Head to Head
Mar 21, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 9
San Lorenzo
1-0
Godoy Cruz
Tarragona (67')

Petroli (73'), Arce (89')
Oct 19, 2023 9pm
Gameweek 9
Godoy Cruz
1-0
San Lorenzo
Fernandez (64')
Barrea (62')

Braida (56'), Sanchez (67'), Ignacio Goyeneche (71')
Ignacio Goyeneche (79')
Feb 11, 2023 8pm
Oct 4, 2022 8.30pm
Oct 31, 2021 6.45pm
Second Phase
San Lorenzo
1-0
Godoy Cruz
Di Santo (38')
Martegani (43'), Palacios (47'), Di Santo (90'), Sabella (90+4')

Burgoa (57'), Ramirez (61'), Breitenbruch (80'), Bullaude (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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