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Algeria national football team
African Nations Championship | Semi-Finals
Jan 31, 2023 at 4pm UK
 
Niger national football team

Algeria
5 - 0
Niger

Abdellaoui (15'), Mahious (23', 34'), Katakore (45' og.), Bayazid (83')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Issaka Souley (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's African Nations Championship clash between Algeria and Niger, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Algeria 1-0 Ivory Coast
Friday, January 27 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Niger 2-0 Ghana
Saturday, January 28 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Ghana347
2Mali304
3Congo DR303
4Niger3-41

We said: Algeria 1-0 Niger

Both teams have been defensively near-impenetrable of late, so we are anticipating a nervy and cagey affair. That said, we are also backing Algeria to get the job done and continue their quest for glory on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 85.99%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Niger had a probability of 3.01%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (15.71%) and 1-0 (14.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.4%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (1.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
AlgeriaDrawNiger
85.99%11%3.01%
Both teams to score 25.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.83%44.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.45%66.54%
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.52%7.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.15%26.85%
Niger Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
27.7%72.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
4.25%95.75%
Score Analysis
    Algeria 85.98%
    Niger 3.01%
    Draw 11%
AlgeriaDrawNiger
2-0 @ 18.17%
3-0 @ 15.71%
1-0 @ 14.01%
4-0 @ 10.19%
2-1 @ 5.9%
5-0 @ 5.29%
3-1 @ 5.1%
4-1 @ 3.31%
6-0 @ 2.29%
5-1 @ 1.72%
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 85.98%
0-0 @ 5.4%
1-1 @ 4.55%
2-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 11%
0-1 @ 1.75%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 3.01%

How you voted: Winner SF1 vs Winner Semi-final 4

Winner Semi-final 1
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Winner Semi-final 4
0.0%
35
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2021 5pm
Second Round
Niger
0-4
Algeria

Oumarou (80')
Mahrez (20'), Mandi (33'), Bennacer (48'), Bounedjah (54')
Atal (45+1')
Oct 8, 2021 8pm
Second Round
Algeria
6-1
Niger
Mahrez (27', 60' pen.), Oumarou (47' og.), Souleymane (70' og.), Slimani (76', 88')
Zerrouki (31')
Sosah (50')
Adebayor (45+2')
rhs 2.0
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