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Algeria national football team
African Nations Championship | Quarter-Finals
Jan 27, 2023 at 4pm UK
 
Ivory Coast national football team

Algeria
1 - 0
Ivory Coast

Mahious (90+6' pen.)
Belaid (68'), Mahious (90+8')
Guendouz (20')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Diarrassouba (27'), Aka (90+8'), Coulibaly (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's African Nations Championship clash between Algeria and Ivory Coast, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Mozambique 0-1 Algeria
Saturday, January 21 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Uganda 1-3 Ivory Coast
Sunday, January 22 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

We said: Algeria 2-1 Ivory Coast

The teams have shown they are capable of scoring goals, so we expect at least one at both ends of the pitch. We are also tipping Algeria to edge out Ivory Coast and emerge victorious in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 46.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Ivory Coast win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Algeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Algeria.

Result
AlgeriaDrawIvory Coast
46.15% (-0.355 -0.36) 28.52% (0.266 0.27) 25.33% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 42.42% (-0.593 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.97% (-0.787 -0.79)63.03% (0.788 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.51% (-0.573 -0.57)82.49% (0.574 0.57)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.56% (-0.554 -0.55)27.44% (0.556 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.08% (-0.721 -0.72)62.92% (0.723 0.72)
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.46% (-0.368 -0.37)41.54% (0.37 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.97% (-0.324 -0.32)78.03% (0.32700000000001 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Algeria 46.15%
    Ivory Coast 25.32%
    Draw 28.51%
AlgeriaDrawIvory Coast
1-0 @ 14.74% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 9.53% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.11% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.045 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 46.15%
1-1 @ 12.94% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 11.39% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 3.68% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.51%
0-1 @ 10.01% (0.189 0.19)
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.4% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 25.32%

How you voted: 1st ranked Group A vs 2nd position Group B

1st ranked Group A
75.0%
Draw
20.8%
2nd position Group B
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2022 4pm
Group E
Ivory Coast
3-1
Algeria
Kessie (22'), Sangare (39'), Pepe (54')
Deli (12'), Aurier (12'), Maiga (72')
Bendebka (73')
Brahimi (78'), Boulaya (84')
Jul 11, 2019 5pm
Quarter-Finals
Ivory Coast
1-1
Algeria
Kodjia (62')
Zaha (29'), Bagayoko (43'), Gbohouo (46'), Kessie (88'), Comara (120')
Feghouli (20')
Bensebaini (29'), Bennacer (39')
Feb 1, 2015 7.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Ivory Coast
3-1
Algeria
Bony (26', 68'), Gervinho (94')
rhs 2.0
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