Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 4pm UK
Nuevo Estadio de Malabo
Eq Guinea1 - 0Tunisia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botswana 2-3 Eq Guinea
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
We said: Equatorial Guinea 1-1 Tunisia
Tunisia have enjoyed an impressive qualifying campaign and will be playing for pride, having already secured qualification. Equatorial Guinea, meanwhile, can book their spot in Ivory Coast with a draw this weekend and we predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 37.81%. A draw had a probability of 33.6% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 28.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-2 (6.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.77%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 1-0 (13.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Tunisia |
28.64% ( -0.64) | 33.55% ( 0.17) | 37.81% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 33.16% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
