World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Sep 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Tunisia3 - 0Eq Guinea
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 54.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tunisia | Draw | Equatorial Guinea |
| 54.86% | 24.15% | 20.99% |
| Both teams to score 49.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
