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Comoros national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny
Tunisia national football team

Comoros
1 - 1
Tunisia

Selemani (49')
M'Dahoma (6'), Mohamed (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Meriah (68')
Ben Hmida (32'), Jaziri (61'), Ali Ben Romdhane (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Comoros and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Tunisia 0-1 Comoros
Friday, October 11 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Tunisia 0-1 Comoros
Friday, October 11 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Comoros 0-1 Tunisia

While Comoros defended excellently against Tunisia in their last clash, it is difficult to ignore the visitors' strong overall form. However, the hosts could frustrate Tunisia given the away team have relied on late winners in their two wins in the group stage so far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 48.21%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 21.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14%), while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
ComorosDrawTunisia
21.98% (0.241 0.24) 29.81% (0.073 0.07) 48.21% (-0.314 -0.31)
Both teams to score 36.77% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.4% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)68.6% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.67% (-0.022 -0.02)86.33% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Comoros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.86% (0.238 0.24)48.15% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.66% (0.171 0.17)83.34% (-0.172 -0.17)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (-0.176 -0.18)29.1% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98% (-0.22000000000001 -0.22)65.02% (0.22099999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Comoros 21.98%
    Tunisia 48.2%
    Draw 29.8%
ComorosDrawTunisia
1-0 @ 10.24% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 4.62% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.74% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.13% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 0.91% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 21.98%
0-0 @ 14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.85% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 29.8%
0-1 @ 17.29% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
0-2 @ 10.67% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.39% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.36% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.17%
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 48.2%

How you voted: Comoros vs Tunisia

Comoros
11.1%
Draw
22.2%
Tunisia
66.7%
27
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Tunisia
0-1
Comoros

Bouchniba (90+4')
Said (63')
Hakim Abdallah (23'), Omari (84')
Sep 22, 2022
3.30pm
International Friendly
Comoros  
C
vs.
T
  Tunisia
rhs 2.0
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