Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
Feb 20, 2024 at 8am UK
Marvel Stadium
Victory2 - 1Western Utd
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Western United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Victory
Saturday, February 17 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, February 17 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Western Utd 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Friday, February 16 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Friday, February 16 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
15
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Western United had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Melbourne Victory in this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western United |
47.9% ( 0.12) | 22.95% ( 0.09) | 29.15% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 62.29% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
