Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
42.11% ( 0.1) | 23.82% ( 0.01) | 34.06% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 61.57% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.49% ( -0.1) | 40.5% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.11% ( -0.1) | 62.88% ( 0.1) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.48% ( 0) | 19.52% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.59% ( 0) | 51.41% ( -0.01) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.5% ( -0.11) | 23.5% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.47% ( -0.16) | 57.53% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 42.11% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.82% | 1-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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