MX23RW : Friday, January 24 11:29:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 15
Feb 3, 2024 at 7am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Newcastle Jets
1 - 1
Victory

Stamatelopoulos (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Miranda (20')
Da Silva (31'), Teague (87'), Chapman (90')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-2 Wellington
Saturday, January 27 at 7am in Australian A-League

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Sydney FC
Friday, January 26 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.44%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawMelbourne Victory
34.42% (0.692 0.69) 22.91% (0.216 0.22) 42.68% (-0.90300000000001 -0.9)
Both teams to score 65.12% (-0.595 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.1% (-0.86699999999999 -0.87)35.9% (0.87200000000001 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.01% (-0.96 -0.96)57.99% (0.966 0.97)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)21.17% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)54.03% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61% (-0.706 -0.71)17.39% (0.711 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.19% (-1.25 -1.25)47.81% (1.256 1.26)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 34.42%
    Melbourne Victory 42.68%
    Draw 22.91%
Newcastle JetsDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 7.76% (0.134 0.13)
1-0 @ 5.72% (0.237 0.24)
2-0 @ 4.44% (0.179 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.3% (0.089 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 34.42%
1-1 @ 10% (0.187 0.19)
2-2 @ 6.79% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.68% (0.158 0.16)
3-3 @ 2.05% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.91%
1-2 @ 8.74% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.44% (0.129 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.1% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-3 @ 3.96% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.28% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.73% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.44% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 42.68%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 6am
Gameweek 2
Victory
5-3
Newcastle Jets
Fornaroli (8', 31', 40' pen., 45+3'), Velupillay (55')
Natta (6'), Taylor (49', 74')
Jenkinson (27'), Buhagiar (58')
Feb 12, 2023 4am
Gameweek 16
Newcastle Jets
2-1
Victory
Mikeltadze (37' pen.), Grozos (58')
Velupillay (51')
> Preview
Nov 4, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 5
Victory
4-0
Newcastle Jets
Brimmer (16' pen.), Ikonomidis (50'), D'Agostino (54'), Fornaroli (89' pen.)
Apr 16, 2022 10.45am
Gameweek 24
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Victory
Siatravanis (65')
Elsey (41')
D'Agostino (6'), Margiotta (90+3')
Folami (58')
Feb 12, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 14
Victory
1-2
Newcastle Jets
Brimmer (45+2')
Brillante (28'), Velupillay (86')
Brillante (48')
Yuel (57'), Mikeltadze (70' pen.)
Elsey (5'), Mikeltadze (21')
rhs 2.0
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