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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 18
Dec 24, 2023 at 4pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
Galatasaray

Fenerbahce
0 - 0
Galatasaray


Osayi-Samuel (12'), Kahveci (57'), King (72')
FT

Torreira (64'), Boey (73'), Ziyech (85'), Akturkoglu (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kayserispor 3-4 Fenerbahce
Wednesday, December 20 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Karagumruk
Wednesday, December 20 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fenerbahce 3-3 Galatasaray

With absolutely nothing to separate the sides points-wise in the league table, calling the winner in this enticing encounter is a thankless task. Wednesday's high-scoring win took Fener's goal tally to 78 in just 28 matches this season, and Gala have been noted for their open, expansive style of play too, so this could be a fixture for the ages, even if it ends level. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 55.57%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 24.12% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.78%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawGalatasaray
55.57% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 20.3% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 24.12% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 67.27% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.01% (0.048999999999992 0.05)29.99% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.82% (0.060000000000002 0.06)51.17% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.98% (0.037000000000006 0.04)11.01% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.68% (0.084000000000003 0.08)35.31% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)24.4% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.17% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)58.82% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 55.57%
    Galatasaray 24.12%
    Draw 20.3%
FenerbahceDrawGalatasaray
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.78% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 5.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.74% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.64% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.65% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.006 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 55.57%
1-1 @ 8.36% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 2.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 20.3%
1-2 @ 5.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.79% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 24.12%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Galatasaray

Fenerbahce
51.0%
Draw
20.8%
Galatasaray
28.1%
96
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 37
Galatasaray
3-0
Fenerbahce
Zaniolo (28', 79'), Icardi (71')
Nelsson (12')

Kahveci (36'), Zajc (82'), Yuksek (90+2')
Peres (61')
Jan 8, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 18
Fenerbahce
0-3
Galatasaray
Oliveira (32'), Akturkoglu (78'), Icardi (90+10')
Apr 10, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 32
Fenerbahce
2-0
Galatasaray
Zajc (26'), Dursun (68')
Aziz (33'), Hakan Yandas (56'), Kahveci (62')

Marcao (40'), Babel (45+2'), Cicaldau (58'), Antalyali (90+2')
Nov 21, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 13
Galatasaray
1-2
Fenerbahce
Akturkoglu (16')
Kutlu (25'), Marcao (35'), Muslera (35'), Terim (45+3'), Nelsson (66'), Terim (90+7')
Ozil (31'), Crespo (90+4')
Tisserand (24'), Ozer (35'), Hakan Yandas (35'), Kahveci (90+7')
Tisserand (82')
Feb 6, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 24
Fenerbahce
0-1
Galatasaray

Hakan Yandas (17'), Erkin (90+9')
Mohamed (54')
Saracchi (28'), Linnes (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray12111033112234
2Fenerbahce1292133112229
3Samsunspor1281324131125
4EyupsporEyupspor136431913622
5BesiktasBesiktas116321910921
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK115331913618
7SivassporSivasspor125251720-317
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul124441717016
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor125161220-816
10GaziantepGaziantep124351818015
11KasimpasaKasimpasa123541619-314
12KonyasporKonyaspor124261420-614
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
14TrabzonsporTrabzonspor112631214-212
15KayserisporKayserispor122641322-912
16Bodrumspor133281017-711
17AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
18Hatayspor111371018-86
19Adana Demirspor11029925-162


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