Fenerbahce

2 - 1

Karagumruk

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 67.35%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 14.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.