Sivasspor have performed very well away from home in the opening months of the season and there is no reason to think they cannot continue that form on Saturday. The hosts have played neither particularly well nor particularly badly at home this season, but one thing is for sure - they are struggling to score goals, having the fourth-worst record of any team from the bottom half of the Super Lig with just five goals scored so far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih Karagumruk	Draw	Sivasspor
41.4% ( 0.04)	24.93% ( -0.01)	33.67% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 57.47% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.19% (

0.04)

45.81% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.88% (

0.04)

68.12% (

-0.04)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.91% (

0.04)

22.09% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.55% (

0.06)

55.44% (

-0.06)

Sivasspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.76% (

-0)

26.24% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.66% (

-0.01)

61.34% (

Score Analysis

Fatih Karagumruk 41.4%

Sivasspor 33.67%

Draw 24.93%

Fatih Karagumruk	Draw	Sivasspor
2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 41.4%	1-1 @ 11.71% 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.93%	1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 33.67%