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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 7
Sep 25, 2021 at 11.30am UK
Sivas Stadium

Sivasspor
4 - 0
Karagumruk

Kayode (1'), Goutas (50'), Felix (56'), Gradel (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zukanovic (90+3')

Preview: Sivasspor vs. Fatih Karagumruk - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Sivasspor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sivasspor shall be attempting to earn consecutive victories in the Super Lig for the first time this season on Saturday when they host Fatih Karagumruk at the Sivas 4 Eylul Stadium.

The visitors head into this game undefeated in their previous three matches, which has seen them climb to fifth place in the table.


Match preview

Sivasspor Riza Calimbay pictured on November 5, 2020© Reuters

Sivasspor have had a tough start to the season, having only managed to secure one victory in the opening six matches, which came during their most recent outing.

After starting the campaign with back to back defeats, there was certainly room for improvement, but that is what the club have been doing, slowly but surely.

Three consecutive draws helped to start pulling the team away from the relegation zone, while the victory on Saturday allowed them to climb up to midtable, which they will now be wanting to capitalise on.

Sivasspor were knocked out of the Europa Conference League at the playoff stage, with Copenhagen winning 7-1 on aggregate, which now means they have fewer distractions from the Super Lig.

After finishing in fifth place last season, the club are aiming to go one step further this time, but they are already playing catch up after the sluggish start.

Last Saturday saw them finally produce a victory, though, as they defeated Yeni Malatyaspor, with surprise goalscorer Dimitris Goutas coming through to provide his team with the win.

Their games have been very open so far, having only kept one clean sheet, meanwhile they have been able to score in every match they have played in the league apart from the opening day.

The visitors have also been very free-flowing, which should lead to an exciting game on Saturday as Fatih Karagumruk have found the back of the net 11 times in the first six league fixtures.

After finishing five points behind Sivasspor last season, they currently find themselves the same number of points ahead after a much stronger start to the 2021-22 campaign.

They have only lost once so far and come into this game with a three-match unbeaten streak that they will no doubt be hoping they can extend to four.

Fatih Karagumruk won consecutive matches against Adana Demirspor and Yeni Malatyaspor, scoring eight goals in the process, with Aleksandar Pesic providing four of those across the two games.

However, they all dried up last Saturday when Kara Kirmizi ended up battling out a goalless draw against Antalyaspor, despite the fact they dominated with 67% of the possession.

Sivasspor Turkish Super Lig form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W

Sivasspor form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W

Fatih Karagumruk Turkish Super Lig form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D

Fatih Karagumruk form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D



Team News

The hosts are set to welcome back Olarenwaju Kayode this weekend after he has served his three-match suspension, meaning he will once again be available for selection.

Both Aaron Appidangoye and Leke James are out of action due to injuries - although, after they secured their first win of the season, an unchanged lineup could end up taking place for Sivasspor.

For the visitors, Pesic is sure to lead the line as he aims to continue his excellent form in front of goal, especially as Fabio Borini is currently injured.

However, Lucas Biglia has missed the last two games for Fatih Karagumruk due to injury, which has been a major blow for the team, with Alparslan Erdem also unavailable with an ankle issue.

Sivasspor possible starting lineup:
Yildirim; Oguz, Goutas, Osmanpasa, Ciftci; Fajr, Arslan; Henrique, Gradel, Felix; Kayode

Fatih Karagumruk possible starting lineup:
Viviano; Balkovec, Benatia Zukanovic, Erkin; Ugur, Musa, Durmaz, Frei, Bertolacci; Pesic


SM words green background

We say: Sivasspor 0-2 Fatih Karagumruk

Fatih Karagumruk have made a strong start to the season, and that should continue on Saturday as their attacking qualities will likely lead them to victory.

Pesic will be on hand to cause major problems for the hosts, and although they did gain three points in their previous match, this will be a difficult test.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



ID:464962:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8587:
Written by
Matthew Wilkinson

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 25.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sivasspor would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Sivasspor vs Karagumruk

Sivasspor
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Fatih Karagumruk
33.3%
6
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