Besiktas

1 - 3

Fenerbahce

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.