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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 14
Dec 4, 2023 at 5pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
4 - 1
Sivasspor

Szymanski (17'), Kahveci (42'), Okumus (68' og.), Dzeko (75')
Akaydin (14')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Manaj (50')
Charisis (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Sivasspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nordsjaelland 6-1 Fenerbahce
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sivasspor 3-3 Trabzonspor
Monday, November 27 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fenerbahce 2-1 Sivasspor

Regardless of the hurt from their heavy Conference League defeat on Thursday, Fenerbahce should return to winning ways on Monday with a hard-fought victory over one of the league's best travellers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 71.86%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 11.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 3-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 1-2 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawSivasspor
71.86% (-0.44200000000001 -0.44) 16.53% (0.323 0.32) 11.61% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 53.98% (-0.89400000000001 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.19% (-1.31 -1.31)34.81% (1.306 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.22% (-1.48 -1.48)56.77% (1.475 1.48)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.5% (-0.417 -0.42)8.49% (0.4139 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.56% (-1.039 -1.04)29.44% (1.034 1.03)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.99% (-0.707 -0.71)41.01% (0.703 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.44% (-0.635 -0.64)77.56% (0.631 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 71.85%
    Sivasspor 11.61%
    Draw 16.53%
FenerbahceDrawSivasspor
2-0 @ 10.58% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 8.7% (0.061 0.06)
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.397 0.4)
3-1 @ 7.76% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-0 @ 5.37% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.78% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.11 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.65% (-0.089 -0.09)
5-1 @ 2.36% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-2 @ 2.13% (-0.112 -0.11)
6-0 @ 1.09% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.078 -0.08)
6-1 @ 0.97% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 71.85%
1-1 @ 7.66% (0.212 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.48% (0.227 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 16.53%
1-2 @ 3.41% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.11% (0.146 0.15)
0-2 @ 1.38% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 11.61%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Sivasspor

Fenerbahce
80.4%
Draw
13.0%
Sivasspor
6.5%
46
Head to Head
May 24, 2023 6.30pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Fenerbahce
3-0
Sivasspor
Kadioglu (47'), Batshuayi (58'), King (85')

Charisis (0'), Saiz (0'), Charisis (18'), Saiz (59')
May 3, 2023 6.30pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Sivasspor
0-0
Fenerbahce
Apr 29, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 32
Sivasspor
1-3
Fenerbahce
Caicedo (76')
Rossi (22'), Kadioglu (45+1', 45+10')
Nov 7, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 13
Fenerbahce
1-0
Sivasspor
Valencia (55' pen.)
Jan 22, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 23
Sivasspor
1-1
Fenerbahce
Henrique (74')
Altinay (15'), Oguz (83')
Zajc (18')
Aziz (34'), Sangare (65'), Crespo (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray22193055223360
2Fenerbahce22173257223554
3Samsunspor22134536231343
4EyupsporEyupspor22116534201439
5BesiktasBesiktas22108433221138
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK22105740271335
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul239683931833
8KasimpasaKasimpasa2271054042-231
9TrabzonsporTrabzonspor2278736261029
10GaziantepGaziantep228592830-229
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor227782530-528
12Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor2283112637-1127
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor2376102642-1627
14KonyasporKonyaspor2266102936-724
15SivassporSivasspor2365122739-1223
16Bodrumspor2355131629-1320
17KayserisporKayserispor214892241-1920
18Hatayspor2217142342-1910
19Adana Demirspor2323182152-313


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