Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 17

Dec 20, 2023 at 5pm UK

Rams Global Stadium

Galatasaray
1 - 0
Karagumruk

Akturkoglu (40')
Ziyech (26'), Torreira (69'), Yilmaz (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rohden (12'), Mendes (45'), Paoletti (85')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Galatasaray and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Galatasaray

All competitions

Turkish Super Lig

Last Game: Copenhagen 1-0 Galatasaray
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions

Last Game: Antalyaspor 2-1 Karagumruk
Saturday, December 9 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Galatasaray 3-1 Fatih Karagumruk

Given the gulf in class between both sides, Galatasaray will be heavily fancied to run out comfortable winners, and we are backing the hosts to live up to expectations, cruising to a routine win in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 14.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 1-2 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
Galatasaray	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
66.97% ( -1.6)	18.37% ( 0.72)	14.67% ( 0.88)

Both teams to score 56.48% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.95% (

-1.49)

36.05% (

1.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.85% (

-1.65)

58.15% (

1.65)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.06% (

-0.77)

9.95% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.1% (

-1.82)

32.9% (

1.82)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.72% (

0.22)

37.29% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.93% (

0.22)

74.07% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Galatasaray 66.97%

Fatih Karagumruk 14.67%

Draw 18.37%

Galatasaray	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.34) 3-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.29) 4-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.21) 5-1 @ 2% ( -0.19) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.09) Other @ 4.15% Total : 66.97%	1-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.37%	1-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.09% Total : 14.67%