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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 12
Oct 28, 2022 at 6pm UK
Vefa Stadı
Galatasaray

Karagumruk
0 - 2
Galatasaray


Borini (42'), Durmaz (77')
Ugur (33')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tasdemir (60'), Mata (85')
Bayram (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Umraniyespor 1-3 Karagumruk
Saturday, October 22 at 12.30pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 2-2 Galatasaray

It will be an interesting battle as Galatasaray are not usually involved in high-scoring affairs, but Karagumruk's open, expansive playing style could see that change here. Given the firepower in both attacks, goals are almost a certainty, and with two suspensions in defence for Galatasaray, they may struggle to get back to winning ways in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawGalatasaray
37.15% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02) 26.12% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 36.73% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.81% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)50.71% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.39% (0.004999999999999 0)72.61% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)26.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.28% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)61.72% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.24% (0.013000000000005 0.01)26.76% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.96% (0.016999999999996 0.02)62.04% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 37.15%
    Galatasaray 36.73%
    Draw 26.12%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawGalatasaray
1-0 @ 9.42% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.65% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.15%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 8.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.71% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 36.73%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Galatasaray

Fatih Karagumruk
19.6%
Draw
21.7%
Galatasaray
58.7%
46
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 6.30pm
Galatasaray
2-0
Karagumruk
Gomis (4' pen.), Babel (12')
Nelsson (43')

Dursun (45+2'), Luckassen (68')
Nov 7, 2021 1pm
Karagumruk
1-1
Galatasaray
Bertolacci (69')
Pesic (35'), Bertolacci (69'), Eggen Hedenstad (78'), Durmaz (82'), Erkin (83'), Ugur (90+2')
Mohamed (88')
Kutlu (47'), Akturkoglu (65'), Terim (83'), Nelsson (90+6')
Apr 10, 2021 5pm
Galatasaray
1-1
Karagumruk
Babel (62')
Mohamed (15'), Akbaba (41'), Donk (47'), Babel (84'), Fernandes (90')
Donk (79')
Ndao (60')
Roco (57'), Viviano (70')
Dec 18, 2020 4pm
Karagumruk
2-1
Galatasaray
Ndao (46'), Erdinc (90+10')
Sobiech (62'), Erdem (76'), Civelek (84'), Altinay (90+4'), Viviano (90+5'), Roco (90+8')
Roco (90+8')
Diagne (90+5' pen.)
Donk (44'), Turan (69'), Bayram (90+1'), Yavuz Kol (90+6')
Terim (70')
rhs 2.0
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1GalatasarayGalatasaray12111033112234
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4EyupsporEyupspor136431913622
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7SivassporSivasspor135351720-318
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul124441717016
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor125161220-816
10GaziantepGaziantep124351818015
11KasimpasaKasimpasa133641619-315
12KonyasporKonyaspor134361521-615
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
14TrabzonsporTrabzonspor112631214-212
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