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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 10
Oct 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Vefa Stadı

Karagumruk
3 - 0
Hatayspor

Caulker (36'), Borini (45+3'), Diagne (90+8' pen.)
Durmaz (11'), Nicholas (38'), Biraschi (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Oksuz (21'), Ergun (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Hatayspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fenerbahce 5-4 Karagumruk
Sunday, October 9 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-0 Alanyaspor
Sunday, October 9 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 0-1 Hatayspor

Only one point separates the sides heading into this tie, so a closely-fought contest is set to take place at the Ataturk Olympic Stadium. However, we think Hatayspor's dream start under Demirel will continue here against a Fatih Karagumruk side that have not won in five games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 64.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 15.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawHatayspor
64.43% (0.73399999999999 0.73) 20.34% (-0.224 -0.22) 15.23% (-0.51 -0.51)
Both teams to score 50.87% (-0.462 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)44.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (0.21400000000001 0.21)12.95% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.58% (0.433 0.43)39.41% (-0.434 -0.43)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.44% (-0.67599999999999 -0.68)41.56% (0.677 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.95% (-0.597 -0.6)78.05% (0.59800000000001 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 64.43%
    Hatayspor 15.23%
    Draw 20.34%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawHatayspor
2-0 @ 11.24% (0.18 0.18)
1-0 @ 11% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.66% (0.183 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.92% (0.124 0.12)
4-1 @ 3.44% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.6% (0.063 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.41% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 64.43%
1-1 @ 9.66% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 20.34%
0-1 @ 4.72% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-2 @ 4.24% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.07% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 15.23%

Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 10.30am
Oct 24, 2021 11.30am
Karagumruk
1-1
Hatayspor
Pesic (38')
Eggen Hedenstad (35'), Balkovec (69'), Mor (87'), Torun (90+4')
Eggen Hedenstad (88')
El Kaabi (30')
Corekci (29'), Boudjemaa (90+4'), Ribeiro (90+6')
Apr 6, 2021 2pm
Dec 12, 2020 10.30am
Hatayspor
3-1
Karagumruk
Ilgaz (11'), Boupendza (75', 83')
Santos (36')
Durmaz (65')
Roco (19'), Viviano (76'), Sabo (77'), N'Diaye (84'), Durmaz (88')
N'Diaye (86'), Sabo (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray109102992028
2Samsunspor1181222101225
3Fenerbahce107212391423
4BesiktasBesiktas106221910920
5EyupsporEyupspor115421711619
6SivassporSivasspor115241716117
7Goztepe SKGoztepe SK104331713415
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul104331714315
9KasimpasaKasimpasa113531517-214
10KonyasporKonyaspor114251418-414
11TrabzonsporTrabzonspor102621111012
12GaziantepGaziantep103341415-112
13Bodrumspor11326813-511
14AntalyasporAntalyaspor113261222-1011
15AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
16Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor10316718-1110
17KayserisporKayserispor10163915-69
18Hatayspor10037717-103
19Adana Demirspor10028924-152


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