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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 10
Oct 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Vefa Stadı

Karagumruk
3 - 0
Hatayspor

Caulker (36'), Borini (45+3'), Diagne (90+8' pen.)
Durmaz (11'), Nicholas (38'), Biraschi (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Oksuz (21'), Ergun (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Hatayspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Fenerbahce 5-4 Karagumruk
Sunday, October 9 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Hatayspor

All competitions
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-0 Alanyaspor
Sunday, October 9 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 0-1 Hatayspor

 Only one point separates the sides heading into this tie, so a closely-fought contest is set to take place at the Ataturk Olympic Stadium. However, we think Hatayspor's dream start under Demirel will continue here against a Fatih Karagumruk side that have not won in five games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 64.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 15.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawHatayspor
64.43% (0.73399999999999 0.73) 20.34% (-0.224 -0.22) 15.23% (-0.51 -0.51)
Both teams to score 50.87% (-0.462 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)44.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (0.21400000000001 0.21)12.95% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.58% (0.433 0.43)39.41% (-0.434 -0.43)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.44% (-0.67599999999999 -0.68)41.56% (0.677 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.95% (-0.597 -0.6)78.05% (0.59800000000001 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 64.43%
    Hatayspor 15.23%
    Draw 20.34%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawHatayspor
2-0 @ 11.24% (0.18 0.18)
1-0 @ 11% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.66% (0.183 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.92% (0.124 0.12)
4-1 @ 3.44% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.6% (0.063 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.41% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 64.43%
1-1 @ 9.66% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 20.34%
0-1 @ 4.72% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-2 @ 4.24% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.07% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 15.23%

Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 10.30am
Hatayspor
3-0
Karagumruk
Lobzhanidze (29'), El Kaabi (34', 58')
Oct 24, 2021 11.30am
Karagumruk
1-1
Hatayspor
Pesic (38')
Eggen Hedenstad (35'), Balkovec (69'), Mor (87'), Torun (90+4')
Eggen Hedenstad (88')
El Kaabi (30')
Corekci (29'), Boudjemaa (90+4'), Ribeiro (90+6')
Apr 6, 2021 2pm
Karagumruk
1-0
Hatayspor
Sobiech (70')
Biglia (62')

Aabid (78')
Dec 12, 2020 10.30am
Hatayspor
3-1
Karagumruk
Ilgaz (11'), Boupendza (75', 83')
Santos (36')
Durmaz (65')
Roco (19'), Viviano (76'), Sabo (77'), N'Diaye (84'), Durmaz (88')
N'Diaye (86'), Sabo (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray11101032112131
2Fenerbahce118212791826
3Samsunspor1281324131125
4EyupsporEyupspor126421811722
5BesiktasBesiktas116321910921
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK115331913618
7SivassporSivasspor125251720-317
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul114431714316
9KasimpasaKasimpasa123541619-314
10KonyasporKonyaspor124261420-614
11AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
12Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor114161019-913
13TrabzonsporTrabzonspor112631214-212
14GaziantepGaziantep113351518-312
15KayserisporKayserispor112631116-512
16Bodrumspor123271016-611
17AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
18Hatayspor111371018-86
19Adana Demirspor11029925-162
> Turkish Super Lig Full Table


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