We said: Fatih Karagumruk 0-1 Hatayspor
Only one point separates the sides heading into this tie, so a closely-fought contest is set to take place at the Ataturk Olympic Stadium.
However, we think Hatayspor's dream start under Demirel will continue here against a Fatih Karagumruk side that have not won in five games.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 64.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 15.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.