Antalyaspor have a lot of belief at the moment, which can be seen in their recent results. The Scorpions also have a good home record this season, only losing to league leaders Fenerbahce.
Karagumruk are also in a good moment, but their away form has been poor, picking up only five points from a possible 18. They also tend to struggle against Antalyaspor, failing to beat the hosts since 2021.
We expect a close game; however, Antalyaspor have the quality to edge it out in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 59.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 18.32%.
The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Antalyaspor would win this match.
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