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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 at 10.30am UK
Antalya Stadyumu

Antalyaspor
2 - 1
Karagumruk

Sari (7'), Buksa (13')
Sahin (7'), Sari (22'), Yehezkel (54'), Dadakdeniz (67'), Buksa (90+3')
Rakip (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Yalcin (42')
Shukurov (6'), Yalcin (22'), Mercan (30'), Biraschi (57'), Rohden (75'), Ceccherini (90+2'), Sturaro (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Antalyaspor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hatayspor 3-3 Antalyaspor
Friday, December 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 3-0 Istanbulspor
Friday, December 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Antalyaspor 1-0 Fatih Karagumruk

Antalyaspor have a lot of belief at the moment, which can be seen in their recent results. The Scorpions also have a good home record this season, only losing to league leaders Fenerbahce. Karagumruk are also in a good moment, but their away form has been poor, picking up only five points from a possible 18. They also tend to struggle against Antalyaspor, failing to beat the hosts since 2021. We expect a close game; however, Antalyaspor have the quality to edge it out in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 59.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Antalyaspor would win this match.

Result
AntalyasporDrawFatih Karagumruk
59.05% (0.20200000000001 0.2) 22.63% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06) 18.32% (-0.14 -0.14)
Both teams to score 50.05% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.49% (0.048999999999999 0.05)48.51% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.36% (0.043000000000003 0.04)70.64% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Antalyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.92% (0.084000000000003 0.08)16.08% (-0.084 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.53% (0.15499999999999 0.15)45.47% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.64% (-0.133 -0.13)40.36% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.02% (-0.121 -0.12)76.98% (0.122 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Antalyaspor 59.05%
    Fatih Karagumruk 18.32%
    Draw 22.62%
AntalyasporDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 11.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.83% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.6% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.02% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 59.05%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 22.62%
0-1 @ 5.89% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.88% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 18.32%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 2pm
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 13
Antalyaspor
4-2
Karagumruk
Wright (35'), Vural (41', 84'), Sari (45+2')
Colley (4'), Diagne (19')
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 25
Antalyaspor
3-0
Karagumruk
Fernando (17'), Kudryashov (30'), Mehmedi (85')
Mehmedi (71')

Bistrovic (58'), Biglia (68'), Viviano (71')
Sep 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Karagumruk
0-0
Antalyaspor
Ugur (40'), Durmaz (44'), Arveladze (85'), Balkovec (87')
Wright (28'), Crivelli (48')
Apr 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 38
Karagumruk
2-2
Antalyaspor
Albayrak (13' og.), Borini (24')
Bertolacci (49'), Roco (62'), Zukanovic (87'), Castro (89')
Fredy (34' pen.), Amilton (90+3')
Akyol (45'), Boffin (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray11101032112131
2Fenerbahce118212791826
3Samsunspor1281324131125
4EyupsporEyupspor126421811722
5BesiktasBesiktas116321910921
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK115331913618
7SivassporSivasspor125251720-317
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul114431714316
9KasimpasaKasimpasa123541619-314
10KonyasporKonyaspor124261420-614
11AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
12Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor114161019-913
13TrabzonsporTrabzonspor112631214-212
14GaziantepGaziantep113351518-312
15KayserisporKayserispor112631116-512
16Bodrumspor123271016-611
17AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
18Hatayspor111371018-86
19Adana Demirspor11029925-162


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