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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 at 10.30am UK
Antalya Stadyumu

Antalyaspor
2 - 1
Karagumruk

Sari (7'), Buksa (13')
Sahin (7'), Sari (22'), Yehezkel (54'), Dadakdeniz (67'), Buksa (90+3')
Rakip (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Yalcin (42')
Shukurov (6'), Yalcin (22'), Mercan (30'), Biraschi (57'), Rohden (75'), Ceccherini (90+2'), Sturaro (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Antalyaspor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hatayspor 3-3 Antalyaspor
Friday, December 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 3-0 Istanbulspor
Friday, December 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Antalyaspor 1-0 Fatih Karagumruk

Antalyaspor have a lot of belief at the moment, which can be seen in their recent results. The Scorpions also have a good home record this season, only losing to league leaders Fenerbahce. Karagumruk are also in a good moment, but their away form has been poor, picking up only five points from a possible 18. They also tend to struggle against Antalyaspor, failing to beat the hosts since 2021. We expect a close game; however, Antalyaspor have the quality to edge it out in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 59.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Antalyaspor would win this match.

Result
AntalyasporDrawFatih Karagumruk
59.05% (0.20200000000001 0.2) 22.63% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06) 18.32% (-0.14 -0.14)
Both teams to score 50.05% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.49% (0.048999999999999 0.05)48.51% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.36% (0.043000000000003 0.04)70.64% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Antalyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.92% (0.084000000000003 0.08)16.08% (-0.084 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.53% (0.15499999999999 0.15)45.47% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.64% (-0.133 -0.13)40.36% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.02% (-0.121 -0.12)76.98% (0.122 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Antalyaspor 59.05%
    Fatih Karagumruk 18.32%
    Draw 22.62%
AntalyasporDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 11.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.83% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.6% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.02% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 59.05%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 22.62%
0-1 @ 5.89% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.88% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 18.32%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 2pm
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 13
Antalyaspor
4-2
Karagumruk
Wright (35'), Vural (41', 84'), Sari (45+2')
Colley (4'), Diagne (19')
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 25
Antalyaspor
3-0
Karagumruk
Fernando (17'), Kudryashov (30'), Mehmedi (85')
Mehmedi (71')

Bistrovic (58'), Biglia (68'), Viviano (71')
Sep 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Karagumruk
0-0
Antalyaspor
Ugur (40'), Durmaz (44'), Arveladze (85'), Balkovec (87')
Wright (28'), Crivelli (48')
Apr 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 38
Karagumruk
2-2
Antalyaspor
Albayrak (13' og.), Borini (24')
Bertolacci (49'), Roco (62'), Zukanovic (87'), Castro (89')
Fredy (34' pen.), Amilton (90+3')
Akyol (45'), Boffin (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Lions
34-17
Bears
FT
Browns
6-24
Bengals
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Bills
FT
Titans
30-38
Colts
FT
Giants
7-34
Falcons
FT
Rams
19-9
Jets
FT
Cardinals
30-36
Panthers
FT
Eagles
33-36
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray16142047192844
2Fenerbahce16113240152536
3Samsunspor1693429171230
4Goztepe SKGoztepe SK1684431211028
5EyupsporEyupspor177642518727
6BesiktasBesiktas167542518726
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul156452521422
8GaziantepGaziantep166372224-221
9AntalyasporAntalyaspor166372028-821
10KonyasporKonyaspor165561823-520
11Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor166281625-920
12TrabzonsporTrabzonspor164752422219
13KasimpasaKasimpasa154742021-119
14SivassporSivasspor175482027-719
15AlanyasporAlanyaspor164661619-318
16KayserisporKayserispor163671632-1615
17Bodrumspor1642101222-1014
18Hatayspor151681324-119
19Adana Demirspor1512121235-232


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