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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 14
Dec 1, 2023 at 5pm UK
Ataturk Olimpiyat Stadi (Istanbul)

Karagumruk
3 - 0
Istanbulspor

Jensen (45' og.), Mendes (49'), Keles (53')
Ceccherini (35'), Yalcin (56'), Dresevic (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Yesil (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Istanbulspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-1 Karagumruk
Sunday, November 26 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbulspor 2-1 Hatayspor
Saturday, November 25 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 1-0 Istanbulspor

Istanbulspor's victory over Hatayspor will give them a morale boost, but their record on the road has been poor this season. Meanwhile, the hosts have picked up nine of their 14 points at home this season and enjoyed a great run before the international break. Erdem's men are unbeaten in their last three home games and we are backing them to come away with all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 21.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawIstanbulspor
56.45% (-0.115 -0.12) 22.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 21.05% (0.107 0.11)
Both teams to score 54.99% (0.132 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.82% (0.1 0.1)44.18% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.45% (0.097000000000001 0.1)66.55% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.54% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)15.46% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.69% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)44.31% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Istanbulspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.04% (0.16 0.16)34.96% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.3% (0.171 0.17)71.7% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 56.45%
    Istanbulspor 21.05%
    Draw 22.49%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawIstanbulspor
1-0 @ 10.08% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.42% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.86% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.88% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 56.45%
1-1 @ 10.6%
0-0 @ 5.4% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.49%
0-1 @ 5.68%
1-2 @ 5.57% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.98% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 21.05%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Istanbulspor

Fatih Karagumruk
Draw
Istanbulspor
Fatih Karagumruk
53.3%
Draw
26.7%
Istanbulspor
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2023 6.30pm
Oct 3, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 8
Karagumruk
1-2
Istanbulspor
Diagne (37')
Rroca (69'), Topalli (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray27225068274171
2Fenerbahce26195263234062
3Samsunspor27156644301451
4BesiktasBesiktas26128639261344
5EyupsporEyupspor27128740291144
6GaziantepGaziantep26115103635138
7Goztepe SKGoztepe SK26107944341037
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul26106104137436
9TrabzonsporTrabzonspor2698943311235
10KasimpasaKasimpasa2781184752-535
11Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor27103143446-1233
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor2796123051-2133
13KonyasporKonyaspor2787123340-731
14AlanyasporAlanyaspor2787123140-931
15Bodrumspor2786132029-930
16SivassporSivasspor2776143345-1227
17KayserisporKayserispor2669112746-1927
18Hatayspor2647152946-1719
19Adana Demirspor2624202560-35-2


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