Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 4

Nov 8, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadyum Samsun

Samsunspor
2 - 1
Istanbulspor

Aydogdu (70'), Ait Bennasser (90+3')
Kilinc (33'), Ait Bennasser (59'), Ntcham (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kaan Gultekin (41')
Loshaj (59'), Yesil (61'), Kaan Gultekin (69'), Yasar (77'), Sarikaya (90+3')
Yakin (34')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Samsunspor and Istanbulspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Samsunspor

All competitions

Last Game: Kayserispor 2-1 Samsunspor
Sunday, August 27 at 5.15pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Istanbulspor

All competitions

Last Game: Istanbulspor 1-1 Kayserispor
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

We said: Samsunspor 1-1 Istanbulspor

This is a very close match on paper, though the hosts are the marginal favourites due to the home-ground advantage. We are not convinced that either of these sides will be able to secure the win here and fancy this one to end level at the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 63.75%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 15.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.

Result
Samsunspor	Draw	Istanbulspor
63.75% ( -0.11)	20.99% ( 0)	15.26% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 48.84% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.17% (

0.2)

46.83% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.91% (

0.19)

69.09% (

-0.19)

Samsunspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.99% (

0.03)

14.01% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.46% (

0.06)

41.54% (

-0.05)

Istanbulspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.8% (

0.27)

43.2% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.54% (

0.23)

79.46% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Samsunspor 63.75%

Istanbulspor 15.26%

Draw 20.99%

Samsunspor	Draw	Istanbulspor
1-0 @ 11.89% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 63.75%	1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.99%	0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.53% Total : 15.26%