Antalyaspor

4 - 2

Karagumruk

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 21.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Antalyaspor would win this match.