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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 32
Apr 10, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Sukru Saracoglu Stadium
Galatasaray

Fenerbahce
2 - 0
Galatasaray

Zajc (26'), Dursun (68')
Aziz (33'), Hakan Yandas (56'), Kahveci (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Marcao (40'), Babel (45+2'), Cicaldau (58'), Antalyali (90+2')

Preview: Fenerbahce vs. Galatasaray - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

One of the biggest games in the European football calendar will take place on Sunday when Fenerbahce face off against their fierce local rivals Galatasaray at the Ulker Stadium.

The stakes are particularly high for the hosts in the intercontinental derby, as they hunt down a top-two spot, while a disappointing campaign for Galatasaray would receive a much-needed boost with a victory over their bitter rivals.


Match preview

Fenerbahce's Miha Zajc celebrates scoring their first goal with Mergim Berisha and team members on March 6, 2022© Reuters

Third-placed Fenerbahce are hoping to qualify for the Champions League qualifying rounds, but to achieve that goal, they must finish inside the top two.

With Trabzonspor in a league of their own at the top, the only route into the Champions League for Sunday's hosts is to overhaul Konyaspor, who currently sit in second place.

Fenerbahce are currently two points adrift of second position largely thanks to a 2-1 victory that they picked up against Konyaspor in their most recent home encounter.

The Yellow Canaries followed up that result with a comprehensive 4-0 win over Kayserispor last weekend, with goals from Miha Zajc, Diego Rossi, Irfan Kahveci and Arda Guler helping Fenerbahce clinch a third consecutive victory.

Ismail Kartal's side now have the chance to extend their current unbeaten league run to eight matches, and there would be no better way to achieve that feat than by beating their city neighbours.

Galatasaray's Marcao celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on March 17, 2022© Reuters

Galatasaray, meanwhile, will be hoping that they are the side that can end Fenerbahce's unbeaten run with the visitors aiming to clinch back-to-back victories.

It has been an underwhelming season for the side that sit in 13th position, but they will still be looking to finish the season strong and a win against their rivals would certainly give their fans something to cheer about.

After suffering back-to-back defeats, Galatasaray bounced back last weekend, with a Bafetimbi Gomis spot kick and a Ryan Babel strike guiding their side to a 2-0 victory over Fatih Karagumruk.

That win may have given Sunday's visitors a boost, but their away form this season will be a cause for concern for Galatasaray boss Domenec Torrent.

Their 15 away league matches have brought about just three victories, while they have won only one of their last 10 away league games, although in a derby, form can go out the window.

Fenerbahce Turkish Super Lig form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W

Fenerbahce form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W

Galatasaray Turkish Super Lig form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W

Galatasaray form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W



Team News

Fenerbahce's Mesut Ozil pictured on November 21, 2021© Reuters

Mesut Ozil and Ozan Tufan are not expected to feature for Fenerbahce again after the club announced that the pair are suspended from the first-team squad.

The Yellow Canaries coped well without the pair last weekend, and Kartal is expected to keep changes to a minimum for the derby, although Attila Szalai could come into the side.

Serdar Dursun will lead the line for the hosts and the forward will be hoping to add to the eight league goals that he has scored this season.

As for the visitors, they are hopeful that Kerem Akturkoglu will be fit enough for a place on the bench despite having to be withdrawn after 35 minutes against Fatih Karagumruk.

With Akturkoglu not expected to start, Emre Kilinc could be given a starting berth for the derby contest.

Galatasaray are expected to be without the services of Mostafa Mohamed and Sofiane Feghouli, who are both recovering from injuries.

Fenerbahce possible starting lineup:
Bayindir; Osayi-Samuel, Aziz, Kim, Szalai; Crespo, Zajc; Yandas, Kahveci, Rossi; Dursun

Galatasaray possible starting lineup:
Muslera; Bayram, Nelsson, Marcao, Van Aanholt; Babel, Kutlu, Antalyali, Cicaldau, Kilinc; Gomis


SM words green background

We say: Fenerbahce 2-1 Galatasaray

Derby encounters can be cagey affairs, and we expect that to be the case on Sunday, but with Fenerbahce hunting down a Champions League place, we think that their quality will shine through to give them the all-important victory.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Galatasaray had a probability of 17.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Galatasaray win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.


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Game History

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Galatasaray

Fenerbahce
76.2%
Draw
19.0%
Galatasaray
4.8%
21
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Galatasaray's Kerem Akturkoglu celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on March 14, 2022
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray109102992028
2Samsunspor1181222101225
3Fenerbahce107212391423
4BesiktasBesiktas106221910920
5EyupsporEyupspor115421711619
6SivassporSivasspor115241716117
7Goztepe SKGoztepe SK104331713415
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul104331714315
9KasimpasaKasimpasa113531517-214
10KonyasporKonyaspor114251418-414
11TrabzonsporTrabzonspor102621111012
12GaziantepGaziantep103341415-112
13Bodrumspor11326813-511
14AntalyasporAntalyaspor113261222-1011
15AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
16Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor10316718-1110
17KayserisporKayserispor10163915-69
18Hatayspor10037717-103
19Adana Demirspor10028924-152


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