Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.