Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Southend United |
27.34% ( -0.41) | 25.43% ( 0.49) | 47.23% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 52.51% ( -1.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.22% ( -2.29) | 50.78% ( 2.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.33% ( -2.06) | 72.67% ( 2.06) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.9% ( -1.52) | 33.09% ( 1.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.31% ( -1.72) | 69.69% ( 1.72) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.49% ( -0.97) | 21.51% ( 0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.44% ( -1.52) | 54.56% ( 1.52) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Southend United |
1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.46% Total : 27.34% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.64) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.67) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.4% Total : 47.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 38 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Barnet | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
4 | Gateshead | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 |
6 | Rochdale | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 25 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Eastleigh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 23 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 22 |
14 | Tamworth | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 21 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
18 | Fylde | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 18 |
19 | Woking | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 17 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 16 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 16 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
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