National League | Gameweek 4

Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK

Roots Hall Stadium

Southend
2 - 3
Hartlepool

Bridge (5'), Scott-Morriss (53')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Crawford (28'), Grey (57'), Seaman (73')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the National League clash between Southend United and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 2-1 Southend
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Hartlepool United

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Hartlepool 3-1 Maidenhead
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Southend United	Draw	Hartlepool United
47.57% ( 0.74)	25.08% ( -0.33)	27.35% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 53.62% (

0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.67% (

1.08)

49.33% (

-1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.62% (

0.97)

71.38% (

-0.97)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.24% (

0.77)

20.76% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.6% (

1.2)

53.4% (

-1.19)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.67% (

0.25)

32.33% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.17% (

0.28)

68.83% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Southend United 47.57%

Hartlepool United 27.35%

Draw 25.08%

Southend United	Draw	Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.62% Total : 47.57%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.08%	0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.35%