Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 51.73%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Hartlepool United |
26.24% ( 0.25) | 22.03% ( -0.28) | 51.73% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 63.13% ( 1.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.64% ( 1.58) | 36.36% ( -1.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.51% ( 1.71) | 58.49% ( -1.71) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.66% ( 1.02) | 26.34% ( -1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.52% ( 1.34) | 61.48% ( -1.34) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.71% ( 0.57) | 14.29% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.9% ( 1.1) | 42.1% ( -1.1) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Hartlepool United |
2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.24% Total : 26.24% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.43) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 6.16% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 3% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2% ( 0.12) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.06) Other @ 4.47% Total : 51.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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