Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Chesterfield |
33.51% ( -0.06) | 24.18% ( -0.04) | 42.3% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 60.08% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.62% ( 0.17) | 42.37% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.22% ( 0.17) | 64.77% ( -0.17) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.3% ( 0.04) | 24.69% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.77% ( 0.06) | 59.22% ( -0.06) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.78% ( 0.11) | 20.21% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.47% ( 0.19) | 52.52% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.51% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 42.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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