National League | Gameweek 50

May 1, 2021 at 5.20pm UK

Victoria Park

Hartlepool
3 - 1
Chesterfield

Oates (5'), Yarney (39' og.), Armstrong (43')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Kerr (60')

Coverage of the National League clash between Hartlepool United and Chesterfield.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 50.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 23.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Chesterfield
50.27%	25.79%	23.95%

Both teams to score 48.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.39%

54.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.05%

75.95%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.24%

21.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.05%

54.95%

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.95%

38.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.18%

74.82%

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 50.27%

Chesterfield 23.95%

Draw 25.78%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Chesterfield
1-0 @ 12.63% 2-0 @ 9.63% 2-1 @ 9.3% 3-0 @ 4.9% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-0 @ 1.87% 4-1 @ 1.8% Other @ 3.13% Total : 50.27%	1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 8.28% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 8% 1-2 @ 5.89% 0-2 @ 3.87% 1-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.45% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.6% Total : 23.95%