Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Southend United win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Chesterfield |
30.59% ( 0.5) | 26.02% ( -0.12) | 43.39% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 52.66% ( 0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.48% ( 0.67) | 51.52% ( -0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.68% ( 0.58) | 73.32% ( -0.58) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.93% ( 0.7) | 31.06% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.62% ( 0.81) | 67.38% ( -0.82) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.4% ( 0.1) | 23.6% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.32% ( 0.15) | 57.68% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.59% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 43.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 38 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Barnet | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
4 | Gateshead | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 |
6 | Rochdale | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 25 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Eastleigh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 23 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 22 |
14 | Tamworth | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 21 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
18 | Fylde | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 18 |
19 | Woking | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 17 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 16 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 16 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
> National League Full Table |