Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Southend United win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Chesterfield |
30.59% ( 0.5) | 26.02% ( -0.12) | 43.39% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 52.66% ( 0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.48% ( 0.67) | 51.52% ( -0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.68% ( 0.58) | 73.32% ( -0.58) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.93% ( 0.7) | 31.06% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.62% ( 0.81) | 67.38% ( -0.82) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.4% ( 0.1) | 23.6% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.32% ( 0.15) | 57.68% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.59% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 43.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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