Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 74.38%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 10.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Eastleigh |
74.38% ( 0.02) | 15.5% ( -0.01) | 10.12% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.32% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.8% ( -0) | 34.2% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.9% ( -0) | 56.1% ( 0) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.19% ( 0) | 7.81% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.28% ( 0.01) | 27.72% ( -0.01) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.76% ( -0.02) | 43.25% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.5% ( -0.02) | 79.5% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Eastleigh |
2-0 @ 10.97% 3-0 @ 9.33% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.82% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.95% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.99% 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.03% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.54% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.29% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.08% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.12% Total : 74.37% | 1-1 @ 7.22% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.38% 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 15.5% | 1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 10.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 24 |
2 | York City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 21 |
4 | Rochdale | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Gateshead | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 20 |
7 | Eastleigh | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 20 |
8 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 16 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 16 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
12 | Woking | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
16 | Tamworth | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 13 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 10 |
20 | Fylde | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 9 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 7 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 5 |
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