Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.