Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braintree Town | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
31.2% ( -0.74) | 25.45% ( 0.11) | 43.34% ( 0.63) |
Both teams to score 54.78% ( -0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1% ( -0.76) | 48.9% ( 0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29% ( -0.69) | 70.99% ( 0.69) |
Braintree Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.68% ( -0.87) | 29.32% ( 0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.71% ( -1.08) | 65.29% ( 1.08) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.51% ( -0.03) | 22.49% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.95% ( -0.04) | 56.05% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Braintree Town | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.49% Total : 31.2% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.23% Total : 43.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 38 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Barnet | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
4 | Gateshead | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 |
6 | Rochdale | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 25 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Eastleigh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 23 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 22 |
14 | Tamworth | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 21 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
18 | Fylde | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 18 |
19 | Woking | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 17 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 16 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 16 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
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