National League South | Gameweek 43

Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK

Ironmongery Direct Stadium

Braintree
3 - 2
Ebbsfleet

Solly (14' og.), Pavey (68'), Clements (78')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Coulthirst (42'), Chapman (60')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the National League South clash between Braintree Town and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braintree Town

All competitions

Last Game: St Albans City 0-2 Braintree
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-0 Oxford City
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 58.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 18.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.15%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Braintree Town win it was 1-0 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Braintree Town	Draw	Ebbsfleet
18.38% ( -0.03)	23.32% ( 0.03)	58.3% ( -0)

Both teams to score 48.07% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.78% (

-0.14)

51.21% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.94% (

-0.12)

73.05% (

0.12)

Braintree Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.12% (

-0.11)

41.87% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.67% (

-0.1)

78.33% (

0.1)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.7% (

-0.05)

17.3% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.35% (

-0.09)

47.65% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Braintree Town 18.38%

Ebbsfleet 58.29%

Draw 23.32%

Braintree Town	Draw	Ebbsfleet
1-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.74% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 18.38%	1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.32%	0-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 11.15% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.52% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.68% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.86% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 58.29%