National League South | Gameweek 42

Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
3 - 0
Oxford City

Poleon (12', 50', 63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Taunton Town 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford City

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford City 4-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
Ebbsfleet	Draw	Oxford City
51.39% ( 0.24)	23.08% ( -0.07)	25.53% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 58.65% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.06% (

0.15)

41.94% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.66% (

0.15)

64.34% (

-0.15)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.59% (

0.14)

16.41% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.94% (

0.26)

46.07% (

-0.25)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.17% (

-0.06)

29.83% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.08% (

-0.07)

65.92% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Ebbsfleet 51.39%

Oxford City 25.53%

Draw 23.08%

Ebbsfleet	Draw	Oxford City
2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.36% Total : 51.39%	1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.08%	1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 25.53%