Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
