National League South | Gameweek 16
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium
Tonbridge Angels1 - 1Chelmsford City
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Chelmsford City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Truro City 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
18
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Chelmsford City |
31.05% ( -0.1) | 25.4% ( -0.05) | 43.55% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 54.88% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.26% ( 0.18) | 48.74% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.16% ( 0.16) | 70.84% ( -0.16) |
Tonbridge Angels Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.66% ( 0.03) | 29.34% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.68% ( 0.03) | 65.32% ( -0.03) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.67% ( 0.15) | 22.32% ( -0.15) |