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National League South | Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
1 - 0
Chelmsford City

Santos (14')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-0 Chippenham
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-1 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tonbridge Angels in this match.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawChelmsford City
37.45% (2.052 2.05) 26.68% (0.251 0.25) 35.87% (-2.3 -2.3)
Both teams to score 51.94% (-0.781 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.93% (-1.007 -1.01)53.07% (1.012 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.35% (-0.863 -0.86)74.66% (0.866 0.87)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (0.733 0.73)27.46% (-0.731 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05% (0.937 0.94)62.96% (-0.934 -0.93)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.61% (-1.818 -1.82)28.39% (1.821 1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.86% (-2.349 -2.35)64.14% (2.352 2.35)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 37.44%
    Chelmsford City 35.87%
    Draw 26.67%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 10.07% (0.585 0.59)
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 6.51% (0.508 0.51)
3-1 @ 3.53% (0.174 0.17)
3-0 @ 2.81% (0.271 0.27)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 37.44%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.8% (0.306 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.343 -0.34)
0-2 @ 6.18% (-0.399 -0.4)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.328 -0.33)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.313 -0.31)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.87%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Nov 9, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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