Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hemel Hempstead Town in this match.