National League South | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground
Hemel Hempstead2 - 3Welling United
Castiglione (2'), Greenidge (45' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Welling United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braintree 3-1 Hemel Hempstead
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Welling United | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Eastbourne Borough | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Last Game: Welling United 2-1 Cheshunt
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Bath City | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Welling United | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 3 | -1 | 4 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Welling United |
47.73% ( -0.45) | 24.57% ( 0.01) | 27.7% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
