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National League South | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
3 - 1
Dulwich Hamlet

Addy (21'), Collins (56'), Gard (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mills (34')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Dulwich Hamlet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Dulwich Hamlet had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Dulwich Hamlet win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawDulwich Hamlet
39.08% (-1.226 -1.23) 25.78% (-0.244 -0.24) 35.14% (1.467 1.47)
Both teams to score 54.86% (1.095 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.69% (1.28 1.28)49.31% (-1.282 -1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.64% (1.143 1.14)71.36% (-1.143 -1.14)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)24.81% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.6% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)59.39% (0.092000000000006 0.09)
Dulwich Hamlet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.97% (1.521 1.52)27.03% (-1.522 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.61% (1.946 1.95)62.39% (-1.948 -1.95)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 39.08%
    Dulwich Hamlet 35.14%
    Draw 25.77%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawDulwich Hamlet
1-0 @ 9.35% (-0.518 -0.52)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-0 @ 6.52% (-0.374 -0.37)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.03% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 39.08%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 6.71% (-0.359 -0.36)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.162 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.77% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8% (0.247 0.25)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.189 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.49% (0.25 0.25)
0-3 @ 2.5% (0.184 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.169 0.17)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 35.14%

Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Dulwich Hamlet
1-1
Tonbridge Angels
Mills (90')
Vint (56')
Olutade (36')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Tonbridge Angels
2-2
Dulwich Hamlet
Turner (28' pen.), Smith-Joseph (79')
Green (70'), Higgs (84')
rhs 2.0
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