MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 15:07:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 12
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
2 - 2
Oxford City

Soares-Junior (53'), Santos (67')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ashby (26'), Parker (45')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-0 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawOxford City
29.52% (-3.338 -3.34) 26.4% (-0.697 -0.7) 44.08% (4.03 4.03)
Both teams to score 50.95% (0.796 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.51% (1.637 1.64)53.48% (-1.641 -1.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.99% (1.364 1.36)75.01% (-1.369 -1.37)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.15% (-1.517 -1.52)32.85% (1.512 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.58% (-1.726 -1.73)69.42% (1.72 1.72)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87% (2.832 2.83)24.13% (-2.837 -2.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.57% (3.869 3.87)58.43% (-3.873 -3.87)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 29.52%
    Oxford City 44.07%
    Draw 26.39%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawOxford City
1-0 @ 8.82% (-0.981 -0.98)
2-1 @ 6.98% (-0.473 -0.47)
2-0 @ 4.91% (-0.777 -0.78)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-0.293 -0.29)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.378 -0.38)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.52%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.31 -0.31)
0-0 @ 7.93% (-0.524 -0.52)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 11.26% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 8.92% (0.497 0.5)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.753 0.75)
1-3 @ 4.23% (0.547 0.55)
0-3 @ 3.8% (0.626 0.63)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.218 0.22)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.297 0.3)
0-4 @ 1.35% (0.311 0.31)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.07%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Oxford City
5-0
Tonbridge Angels
Ashby (13', 20'), O'Donkor (61'), Iaciofano (82'), Clark (90+1')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Tonbridge Angels
0-2
Oxford City
Harmon (47'), Iaciofano (60')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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