National League South | Gameweek 12
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium
Tonbridge Angels2 - 2Oxford City
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Oxford City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-0 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
17
Last Game: Oxford City 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
15
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Oxford City |
29.52% ( -3.34) | 26.4% ( -0.7) | 44.08% ( 4.03) |
Both teams to score 50.95% ( 0.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.51% ( 1.64) | 53.48% ( -1.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.99% ( 1.36) | 75.01% ( -1.37) |
Tonbridge Angels Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.15% ( -1.52) | 32.85% ( 1.51) |